Governor’s race trend lines.

Posted byWaldo Jaquith 18 Comments on Governor’s race trend lines.

Seeing this illustrated is really something. Moran appears to have plateaued, and McAuliffe’s reputation has caught up with him. The undecideds are breaking for Deeds. There’s a week until the election, and a lot can change in a week, but things certainly are looking good for my senator.

Published by Waldo Jaquith

Waldo Jaquith (JAKE-with) is an open government technologist who lives near Char­lottes­­ville, VA, USA. more »

18 replies on “Governor’s race trend lines.”

  1. Mr. Deeds would have had tremendous crossover appeal among working class Virginians, but he took a very public stand against the Sons of Confederate Veterans a few years ago, when the SCV, like many other public service groups, sought to attain a logo license plate.

    Deeds gave a speech on the floor of the Assembly, where he spoke in a disparaging way about the Battle Flag (and by inference, the Virginia veterans who served during that era).

    Even among Virginians who are not wild-eyed supporters of all things Confederate, Deeds’ bow to political expediency, and uneven-handed treatment of the SCV left a very bad memory.

    All Deeds needed to do to garner lasting support among many of Virginia’s Confederate aficionados, would have been to ensure that the SCV petition was afforded equal treatment under the law. Instead, by making a political vendetta against the SCV, and dissing the Battle Flag, Creigh Deeds wrote-off the approximately 50,000 votes that are generally associated with Virginia’s Sons of Confederate Veterans and their supporters.

    All Terry McAuliffe needs to do, is to appear at a few auto races and get his picture taken at some gun shows, in order to strengthen his “bubba” credentials, and McAulliffe will win the nomination and garner the crossover votes needed to triumph over the Bush-clone ticket of McDonnell, Bolling and Cuccinelli.

  2. Are there really single issue voters choosing candidates on the basis of support for the Confederacy? C’mon, surely people have more important concerns.

  3. J. Tyler, if you really believe that any of the Democrats, McAuliffe in particular, is a viable right-of-center alternative to McDonnell/Bolling/Cuccinelli then you’re crazier than you sound, man. Hopefully SCV members see this as well.

  4. Go Deeds!

    Waldo – can you (or anyone else here) tell us if there’s an online resource for finding one’s polling place for the primary?

    thanks in advance

  5. I wonder if republicans will come out and vote for McAuliffe- it’s a time honored tradition.

  8. DailyKos and Reaseach2000 will have a poll out tomorrow. It seems like we have a poll per day now!

    Love that head to head matchup with Creigh Deeds and Bob McDonnell in today’s poll.

  13. The new update to the graph shows Deeds leading.

    I would like to be gracious about the candidate I support winning, but I would probably pelvic thrust in T-Mac’s general direction if this is how it ends.

  14. The PPP showed that Deeds has STRONG support of Dems who voted in 2005, 06,07 primaries, activists who will show up on Tuesday. That’s key for his chance of winning. My husband and I didn’t vote in a Dem primary until last year, even though I’ve voted Dem in every general election. We’re both going for Deeds, so add 2 more to his committed group.

    My Dem co-worker has the same vtoing record, but loves Deeds b/c he’s “salt of the earth Virginia’. I told her if I have to drive her myself next Tuesday, she needs to vote.

  15. Maybe you all know something being on the D side and involved in the races, but how much does “salt of the earth Virginia” matter in this race? Is that something you all are seeing more of and is that helping Deeds over Moran and McAuliffe or do people care less and less? Is it a regional thing (which is my guess)?

  16. Though I’d be interested to hear from others, I’ve got an idea about that, Jason. When people use that phrase to indicate that they like a candidate, I suspect what they’re saying is that “he’s like me,” which is another way of saying “the other candidates aren’t like me.” That could refer to something as complex as values, or it could refer to something as simple as race, country of origin, or accent.

    We saw a lot of this in support of Bush in 2000 and 2004. There were voters who thought he was “jus’ folks” and voted accordingly. The moral of the story there is, I think, that you should vote for somebody smarter than you, not somebody like you. :)

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