Rasmussen: Governor’s race tied.

Rasmussen has released the results of their latest poll in the Kilgore/Kaine/Potts race for Virginia governor, and it’s very, very good news for Democrat Tim Kaine.

In August, Rasmussen had Kaine down by 6%. They had Kaine down by 3% two weeks ago. Today, they have Kilgore and Kaine tied, 45% to 45%.

I figure there are a few things of things of note about this poll.

  1. Rasmussen has established a moving target with their three polls. Whether or not the numbers are accurate (and I have no special insight on this matter) the direction is very clear — Kaine is going up, up, up.
  2. Republican Russ Potts hasn’t gotten the traction that he needs to make any kind of a reasonable showing. There appears no danger that he’ll get the 15% that he needs to be included in the debate on October 9th, pot-banging or no.
  3. Kilgore has already unloaded with his #1 asset — President Bush. But his #1 asset and the entire Republican leadership of the nation currently has a level of popularity traditionally enjoyed by bank robbers (a population with whom they share other traits). Kaine just today began to unload his #1 asset — an ad featuring a strong endorsement by Governor Warner. If Kilgore has an ace in the hole, it’d best be a real hum-dinger.

Today has left me feeling very, very positive about Democrats’ chances come November. Between this poll, Warner’s ad for Kaine, and the NRA’s endorsement of Sen. Creigh Deeds, I’ve had a great day.

Published by Waldo Jaquith

Waldo Jaquith (JAKE-with) is an open government technologist who lives near Char­lottes­­ville, VA, USA. more »

5 replies on “Rasmussen: Governor’s race tied.”

  1. Ditto on today’s news. I’ve been talking lately to anyone who will listen about how a democratic comeback is starting right here in VA. On another note, I hope someone can explain something to me. On the the Kilgore blurb on the site wikipedia.com, one finds the following statement: “Kilgore is also part of Virginia’s Anti-Tax movement, which has roots in the “Massive Resistance” against racial integration of public schools and other facilities in the 1960’s.” What the heck does that mean? Where do they get that? If anyone can shed some light on that I would appreciate it.

  2. The link Mr. Jefferson referenced is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jerry_Kilgore

    However, I can’t figure out why the Wikipedia entry links the current Anti-Tax movement to the “Massive Resistance” of the ’60s except that they are both easily rediculed. Integration needed to happen, and Virginia already enjoys really low taxes… but I am missing any other links… though I’d love to see them! (grin)

  3. During Massive Resistance, some school districts in Virginia shut down completely to avoid integration. Mississippi did the same thing in response to “Brown v. Board of Education.” I think the link between Massive Resistance and the Anti-Tax movement can be summed up with one phrase: I don’t want to pay taxes to educate what should rightfully be my property. Another way to look at it: I don’t what “them” in my schools or in my swimming pools or driving on my roads, so I don’t want any of those things, or to pay for them if it means I have to share. It took me a while to figure this out, until I realized there are people in Virginia who think the Civil War is still being fought, and can’t get over the fact that they’re on the losing side. It didn’t take much mental effort to remember the “southern strategy” of playing up racial fears in the 1960’s that caused most of the Southern U.S. to drift from democrat to republican.

Comments are closed.