The RPV Advance is filtering out Shaun Kenney’s blog.

Shaun Kenney, liveblogging the RPV “Advance” at The Homestead, writes that attendees have been barred access to his site: Wow. Apparently, my site really doesn’t come up if you’re at the Homestead Resort (at least if you want to see the site — RSS feeds still come streaming through). Apparently upon investigation, someone asked for …

Shaun Kenney takes my Jeff Frederick bet.

The bet is on. I’ll give $100 to the RPV if Jeff Frederick keeps his word, while Shaun Kenney will give $100 to the DPVA if Frederick turns out to have lied. The litmus test is if Frederick announces that he’s running for reelection. Shaun says that the “winner gets bragging privileges for at least …

Who will bet against me on Jeff Frederick’s reelection promise?

I’ll put up $100 that says that Jeff Frederick will bail on his promise not to seek reelection. If I lose, I give $100 to the RPV. If I win, the other party will give $100 to the DPVA. But, of course, somebody has to bet against me. Surely somebody out there thinks that Frederick …

The dying gasp of the RPV.

My political blogging, since 2003, has largely been about how the Republican Party is Virginia is crashing and burning. Their coming demise was obvious even then, back when they controlled just about everything—the house, the senate, our congressional delegation, and both U.S. Senate seats. To an outsider, I might appear something close to psychic, but …

RPV/DPVA newsletter tag clouds.

I put together tag clouds for the RPV and the DPVA’s respective newsletters, using every e-mail they’ve sent since their respective national conventions. The RPV: ad america american barack biden campaign chairman change click debate democrats election fannie fight friends governor help joe john keep making mark mccain media nation obama palin party past people …

Have there been any repercussions for Republicans supporting Warner?

One year ago I made a forecast about the Virginia U.S. Senate race: Warner will enjoy support from some key Virginia Republicans. Some will support him in obvious ways, such as endorsing him or hosting events for him. Many others will support him in quieter ways, by failing to support the Republican nominee and encouraging …

Meanwhile, here in the reality-based community…

The McCain/Palin campaign held a rally in Virginia Beach yesterday. They claimed 25,000 attendees. Awkwardly, it turns out the building only holds 16,000. More awkwardly still, the fire marshall says there were only 12,000. Facts be damned, Gerry Scimeca wrote in the RPV’s newsletter this afternoon: For Virginians looking forward to the right kind of …

Frederick, speaking for McCain’s volunteer base.

Time Magazine’s Karen Tumulty was dispatched to cover John McCain’s ground game in Virginia, and she ended up visiting the campaign’s Gainsville office with Del. Jeff Frederick. Tumulty describes in Time magazine the scene that she witnessed: With so much at stake, and time running short, Frederick did not feel he had the luxury of …

The RPV’s newsletter takes a turn for the worse.

The RPV newsletter has generally been pretty even for the past few years—they hate Kaine, Warner, etc., and that’s basically been the theme of every installment for as many years as I’ve been reading it. But it’s really gone to hell under Jeff Frederick, becoming angrier and unhinged with each new e-mail. But this week’s …