Comments on: Warner for Senate. http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/ Thu, 29 Jul 2010 19:29:08 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: Josh http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18346 Josh Thu, 13 Sep 2007 21:55:39 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18346 Tom Davis - 43/35/22 That's 22% of Virginia that doesn't know what a right-wing extremist Tom "90% Bush" Davis is. Lots of fun ahead in 2008, no matter what Davis does. Tom Davis – 43/35/22

That’s 22% of Virginia that doesn’t know what a right-wing extremist Tom “90% Bush” Davis is.

Lots of fun ahead in 2008, no matter what Davis does.

]]> By: Jack http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18345 Jack Thu, 13 Sep 2007 21:29:54 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18345 KCinDC, It doesn't really matter much. At 57% without having even started to campaign, Warner polls better than most incumbents whom nobody will seriously challenge. The Rassmussen report also polled favorables. Check it out: Mark Warner - 68/28/4 (favorable/unfavorable/no opinion) Jim Gilmore - 49/42/9 Tom Davis - 43/35/22 You just cannot successfully pick a fight with a guy who has a 68% favorable rating. Davis would be spending himself silly just trying to get his name out there while Mark Warner will already look like an incumbent by the end of February. KCinDC,

It doesn’t really matter much. At 57% without having even started to campaign, Warner polls better than most incumbents whom nobody will seriously challenge.

The Rassmussen report also polled favorables. Check it out:

Mark Warner – 68/28/4 (favorable/unfavorable/no opinion)
Jim Gilmore – 49/42/9
Tom Davis – 43/35/22

You just cannot successfully pick a fight with a guy who has a 68% favorable rating. Davis would be spending himself silly just trying to get his name out there while Mark Warner will already look like an incumbent by the end of February.

]]> By: Waldo Jaquith http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18344 Waldo Jaquith Thu, 13 Sep 2007 20:13:29 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18344 <blockquote>I'm not sure how meaningful the poll is when most people outside NoVa have never heard of Tom Davis at this point.</blockquote> Though the fact that most people have never heard of Davis is, itself, a strike against him.

I’m not sure how meaningful the poll is when most people outside NoVa have never heard of Tom Davis at this point.

Though the fact that most people have never heard of Davis is, itself, a strike against him.

]]> By: KCinDC http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18341 KCinDC Thu, 13 Sep 2007 19:37:45 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18341 Jack, I'm not sure how meaningful the poll is when most people outside NoVa have never heard of Tom Davis at this point. I do think he's having serious second thoughts, though. Jack, I’m not sure how meaningful the poll is when most people outside NoVa have never heard of Tom Davis at this point. I do think he’s having serious second thoughts, though.

]]> By: Jack http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18340 Jack Thu, 13 Sep 2007 18:49:31 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18340 Dan, Rassmussen polled the race yesterday and found Mark Warner leading Tom Davis 57-30. He'd have to be a complete idiot to give up his seat in Congress for something that hopeless. Today Tom Davis is looking at those poll numbers, looking at Warner's current $9M federal campaign war chest compared to his own relatively paltry $1M and Davis is shaking his head. If Mark Warner had decided to run for Governor then this Senate seat would have been worth the risk and trouble to Davis. But not now. I would bet money that Tom Davis will stay in the House. I have a blog entry examining this very question today if anyone cares. Dan,

Rassmussen polled the race yesterday and found Mark Warner leading Tom Davis 57-30. He’d have to be a complete idiot to give up his seat in Congress for something that hopeless.

Today Tom Davis is looking at those poll numbers, looking at Warner’s current $9M federal campaign war chest compared to his own relatively paltry $1M and Davis is shaking his head. If Mark Warner had decided to run for Governor then this Senate seat would have been worth the risk and trouble to Davis. But not now. I would bet money that Tom Davis will stay in the House.

I have a blog entry examining this very question today if anyone cares.

]]> By: KCinDC http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18335 KCinDC Thu, 13 Sep 2007 17:00:49 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18335 The Pat Buchanan rumor is pretty unbelievable, but it would certainly make things interesting (while unfortunately bringing more embarrassment to Virginia). The Pat Buchanan rumor is pretty unbelievable, but it would certainly make things interesting (while unfortunately bringing more embarrassment to Virginia).

]]> By: Dan Kachur http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18334 Dan Kachur Thu, 13 Sep 2007 16:54:44 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18334 Hopefully, Davis will pin his hopes on having more of a NOVA foothold than most Republicans and go for it anyway. I just hope it's more than Gilmore running. A multi-million dollar bloodthirsty primary battle is entertainment at its best. Hopefully, Davis will pin his hopes on having more of a NOVA foothold than most Republicans and go for it anyway. I just hope it’s more than Gilmore running. A multi-million dollar bloodthirsty primary battle is entertainment at its best.

]]> By: Jack http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18333 Jack Thu, 13 Sep 2007 16:50:48 +0000 http://waldo.jaquith.org/blog/2007/09/warner-senate/#comment-18333 Well, this has saved Tom Davis an awful lot of work and traveling. So much for the fun scramble over his Congressional seat. Who would be crazy enough to actually pull the trigger and run against Mark Warner? Personally, I'm rooting for Allen Keyes to step up to the plate. Well, this has saved Tom Davis an awful lot of work and traveling. So much for the fun scramble over his Congressional seat.

Who would be crazy enough to actually pull the trigger and run against Mark Warner?

Personally, I’m rooting for Allen Keyes to step up to the plate.

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